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Migration prediction
Kelvin Lema |
08 Feb 2026
This herd was seen grazing in the plains between Maswa Game Reserve and Makao in Tanzania’s southern Serengeti. While herds generally move in a clockwise direction, the exact path and timing of different groups can vary depending on localised rainfall and grazing conditions, making it very unpredictable.
This video was taken on 8 Feb 2026 by Kevin Lema (@kelvinlema_90)
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Nearest lodge: Songa Tented Camp
Manja Kema |
01 Feb 2026
This wildebeest mother was spotted giving birth to a brand new herd member in Tanzania’s Maswa Game Reserve. Witnessing the wildebeest calving season is a reminder of the incredible cycle of the Great Migration. Within minutes, these calves are on their feet, ready to keep pace with the herd.
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Nearest lodge: Mwiba Lodge
Anderson Harvey |
12 Jan 2026
This wildebeest mother was spotted right after birthing her calf in the Ndutu region of Tanzania. According to our contributors, calving season is now in full swing!
This video was taken by Anderson Harvey on 12 Jan 2026.
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Nearest lodge: Ndutu Safari Lodge
Emmanuel Meena |
19 Jan 2026
This herd of migrating wildebeest were spotted peacefully grazing in Tanzania’s Kusini Plains. Unlike the dramatics of the river crossings in the north, the Kusini Plains are host to the calving season. The abundance of newborn animals during this time turns the plains into a prime hunting ground for predators.
This incredible video was taken by Emmanuel Meena on 18 Jan 2026.
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Nearest lodge: Serian’s Serengeti Mobile Kusini
Emmanuel Meena |
14 Jan 2026
This Megaherd has arrived in the Southern Serengeti’s Kusini Plains just in time for calving season. Over the next few weeks, these plains will become a nursery for hundreds of thousands of newborns.
This video was taken in 14 Jan 2026 by Emmanuel Meena.
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Nearest lodge: Serian’s Serengeti Mobile Kusini
East Safaris |
09 Jan 2026
This herd was seen scattering in fear as they are chased by a group of cheetahs in Tanzania’s Ndutu Plains. During this time of the year, predators are hot on the heels of migrating herds, in pursuit of a quick meal during calving season of the Great Migration.
This video was taken by East Safaris on 9 Jan 2026.
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Nearest lodge: Ndutu Safari Lodge
SELECT A MONTH in the timeline below to see our monthly predictions for the annual Great Migration. These predictions will ensure that you're in the right place at the right time to witness this natural work wonder.
HerdTracker is a collaborative tool that helps travellers, guides, rangers, and others...
17 Mar 2024
The Great Migration is probably Africa’s most spectacular wildlife spectacle. Each year,...
13 May 2024
Rainfall Variability: The migration follows a roughly circular route, timed with the seasonal rains.
During the wet seasons, particularly the' long rains' from March to May, the animals disperse widely across the plains, as water and grazing are plentiful everywhere, making sightings less frequent and predictable.
Large Area of Movement: The migration covers vast areas, spanning some 30,000 square kilometers between Tanzania's Serengeti and Kenya's Maasai Mara. The sheer size of this area means that the wildlife can be spread out and harder to locate at certain times of the year.
Predator Activity: Predator presence, especially of lions, cheetahs, and hyenas, can influence the routes taken by the herds. Intense predator activity in particular areas might lead the herds to alter their paths, affecting where and when they are seen.
The migration is dynamic, and while some months offer high-density viewing opportunities, others present a challenge in locating the dispersed herds.
HerdTracker's new predictor map uses 10 years of migration data to help travelers accurately plan their great migration safari. It provides a 12-month view of where the herd could potentially be spotted.
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